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Gold Mining M&A: Too Rich by Half?

How much is too much to pay for new gold-in-the-ground resources...?

WHATEVER'S LURKING in Andean Resource's data room – opened to suitors for two years, but now closed after GoldCorp trumped Eldorado's US$3.3bn bid by a hundred grand or so – it must be pretty spectacular, writes Adrian Ash at BullionVault.

Because on published figures, and at current spot prices, GoldCorp's offer equals 74% of the gold and silver resources indicated and inferred at Cerro Negro. Based on viable reserves alone, the bid is priced at 1.5 times proven and probable ounces!

That suggests real confidence not only in the precious-metal bull market, but most spectacularly in Andean's exploration projects.

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What will happen to Gold in a very slow Recovery?

The present situation

The’ better-than-expected’ poor employment figures of last week were generally taken as a sign that the recovery is there, but L-shaped with a slightly rising bias. The new stimuli from government will be positive and hitting where they should. Tax breaks on new equipment and infrastructural development tastes the same as digging holes and filling them in did in the 1930’s. We have to wait and see if the economy will respond. We sincerely hope it will. But do investors even in the U.S. believe that a recovery will see a fall in the gold price? We think not!

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Speculating in Gold

Since gold stopped being money, it's become 75% more valuable on average...

SO GOLD is now at "fair value" reckons Bill Bonner, long-time gold bug and my former boss/partner-in-crime at The Daily Reckoning's London HQ, writes Adrian Ash of BullionVault.

No, he won't sell yet...if ever...says Bill. But gold's huge under-pricing a decade ago has clearly passed by. Value-hungry investors got their "reversion to the mean", and in the form of 400% gains, too. What one ounce of gold bought 2,000 years ago – a good suit of clothes, in Bill's oft-repeated example – it now matches, if not exceeds in price, here in late 2010.

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Will Gold ever be a Means of Exchange? Will Gold be a measure of Value?

When gold is written about as money, it means different things to different people. Money is, after all, what most people see as a means of exchange; you use money to pay for goods and services, simply that. 

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Gold: Over-Owned or Over-Reported?

More journalists than potential buyers pack the Gold Investment market right now...

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